الاستدامة المالية في الجزائر في ظل تقلبات أسعار النفط : دراسة تحليلية للفترة 2000-2020

Abstract EN

The study aimed to analyse Algeria's fiscal sustainability under oil price fluctuations for the period 2000-2020, using various indicators of fiscal sustainability, notably the Public Debt Index, the Tax Gap Index and the Balance Deficit Index.

The results of the study found that Algeria suffered from a vulnerability to fiscal sustainability owing to the vulnerability of State budget resources to oil price shocks, most recently the double shock of low demand and the spread of the Corona Cofed 19 epidemic, which caused the authorities to reduce the price of the State budget barrel of oil from $50 to $30 per barrel, and to enact a supplementary 2020 fiscal law aimed at reducing public expenditure.

The research recommends the creation of a new Algerian economic model that ensures permanent financing of the economy by increasing the normal collection of public expenditures.