قياس و تحليل تقلبات أسعار النفط و انعكاساتها في معدلات التبادل التجاري في جمهورية كوريا الجنوبية للمدة (1990-2018)‎

Abstract EN

The conclusion discusses the research a fundamental topic in foreign trade, namely, the impact of fluctuations in oil prices in the rate of trade in east Asian countries as a model of the Korean economy, the goal of the research to discuss the repercussions of fluctuations in oil prices in the terms of trade of a country that is one of the major importing countries of crude oil and clarify the pattern and nature of these repercussions, and the research was based on the hypothesis that increased fluctuations in oil prices have negative effects on the rate of trade for oil importing countries The research used a theoretical analysis method that began with the concept of the terms of trade and ended with an analysis of the reality of the Korean economy in light of the volatility of oil prices, and was reinforced by the use of standard analysis tools in which the data stability ranges were tested and then the model for research was estimated, The research found a number of results, the most important of which was that there are negative effects of fluctuations in oil prices in the terms of trade of the Korean economy and this reinforced the hypothesis from which the research was launche.