Prediction of monthly fluoride content in tigris river using SARIMA model in R software
Other Title(s)
التنبؤ بمحتوى الفلورايد الشهري في نهر دجلة باستخدام (SARIMA) موديل في برنامج (R)
Joint Authors
Khudayr, Hasan Basim
Faraj, Rasha Atwan
al-Saqqar, Awatif Suadid Abd al-Hamid
Source
Issue
Vol. 22, Issue 8 (31 Aug. 2016), pp.75-85, 11 p.
Publisher
University of Baghdad College of Engineering
Publication Date
2016-08-31
Country of Publication
Iraq
No. of Pages
11
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
The need to create the optimal water quality management process has motivated researchers to pursue prediction modeling development.
One of the widely important forecasting models is the sessional autoregressive integrated moving average (SARIMA) model.
In the present study, a SARIMA model was developed in R software to fit a time series data of monthly fluoride content collected from six stations on Tigris River for the period from 2004 to 2014.
The adequate SARIMA model that has the least Akaike's information criterion (AIC) and mean squared error (MSE) was found to be SARIMA (2,0,0) (0,1,1).
The model parameters were identified and diagnosed to derive the forecasting equations at each selected location.
The correlation coefficient between the actual and predicted values for fluoride concentration at the six locations, Al-Karakh, East Tigris, Al-Wathbah, AL-Karamah, Al-Rashid and Al-Wahda WTP intakes, was 0.93, 0.82, 0.86, 0.90, 0.83 and 0.89, respectively.
Model verification results indicated that the model forecasting outputs rationally estimated the actual monthly fluoride content in the selected locations.
American Psychological Association (APA)
al-Saqqar, Awatif Suadid Abd al-Hamid& Khudayr, Hasan Basim& Faraj, Rasha Atwan. 2016. Prediction of monthly fluoride content in tigris river using SARIMA model in R software. Journal of Engineering،Vol. 22, no. 8, pp.75-85.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-708501
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Faraj, Rasha Atwan…[et al.]. Prediction of monthly fluoride content in tigris river using SARIMA model in R software. Journal of Engineering Vol. 22, no. 8 (Aug. 2016), pp.75-85.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-708501
American Medical Association (AMA)
al-Saqqar, Awatif Suadid Abd al-Hamid& Khudayr, Hasan Basim& Faraj, Rasha Atwan. Prediction of monthly fluoride content in tigris river using SARIMA model in R software. Journal of Engineering. 2016. Vol. 22, no. 8, pp.75-85.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-708501
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes appendices : p. 81-85
Record ID
BIM-708501