تقدير و تحليل دالة الاستهلاك في الاقتصاد العراقي وفق أنموذج "المون" للتخلف الزمني الخارجي للمدة (1997-2012)‎

Abstract EN

This Research aimed to use Dynamic Analysis through Time Trend indicator specially ( Almon Time Lag Model ) the research hypothesis depends on the significance effect of the current National income and the ( one year) Lag of the Consumption expenditures on the current consumption .

and also , the research divided into three sections to reach it’s hypothesis and importance .

moreover , the time Limit covered the period of ( 7881 - 2172 ) for some Macroeconomic indicators of the Iraq economy ,Finally , the research reached some conclusions such as , the short run impact of Almon Model was ( 1221 ) and the compound Anual Rate of Growth of ( Harrod - Domar ) model was ( 982198 ) for the period ( 7881 - 2172 ) so to recommand that must plan the marginal propensity to consume , Investment of the Iraq by the Ministry of lanning and information Technology.