العلاقة بين عرض النقد و التضخم : تحليل قياسي على الاقتصاد الأردني

Other Title(s)

The relationship between money supply and inflation : an econometric analysis of the Jordanian economy

Time cited in Arcif : 
5

Joint Authors

شحاتيت، محمد عيسى
الطيب، سعود موسى إرشيد
النيف، خالد لافي كاسب

Source

مجلة الجامعة الإسلامية للدراسات الاقتصادية و الإدارية

Issue

Vol. 26, Issue 1 (31 Jan. 2018), pp.62-78, 17 p.

Publisher

The Islamic University-Gaza Deanship of Research and Graduate Affairs

Publication Date

2018-01-31

Country of Publication

Palestine (Gaza Strip)

No. of Pages

17

Main Subjects

Economy and Commerce

Abstract EN

This study aims to test and analyze the relationship between the supply of money and inflation in the Jordanian economy during 1968-2015.

In order to achieve the objective of the study, the methodology of econometric analysis of time series was used.

The stability of the study variables was tested using the Augmented Dickey-Fuller (ADF) test before applying Johansson’s co-integration methodology to test the long-term equilibrium relationship.

The Granger’s causality test was used to determine the direction of the causal relationship, if exist, in the short term.

Finally, an econometric model was formulated to estimate the economic relationship between the variables of the study .

The results of the study indicate that while the money supply was unstable at the level and stabilized after taking the first difference, inflation has stabilized at the level.

The results of cointegration also indicated that there was no causal link between the money supply and the price index, in the long-term.

The results of Granger's causality show a unidirectional causality running from the money supply to inflation, which means that money supply causes inflation in Jordan, not vice versa.

The results of the econometric model indicate that the change in the money supply has a significant impact on the change in prices.

The study recommends the need to manage changes in the supply of money in a way that limits the rise in prices to achieve economic stability.

It also recommends the application of econometric models, including the study model, in the control of local liquidity and price behavior to achieve economic stability.

Further specialized research is needed to analyze the impact of money supply and its mutual effects on other macroeconomic indicators, especially the interest rate and discount rate.

American Psychological Association (APA)

النيف، خالد لافي كاسب وشحاتيت، محمد عيسى والطيب، سعود موسى إرشيد. 2018. العلاقة بين عرض النقد و التضخم : تحليل قياسي على الاقتصاد الأردني. مجلة الجامعة الإسلامية للدراسات الاقتصادية و الإدارية،مج. 26، ع. 1، ص ص. 62-78.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-796863

Modern Language Association (MLA)

النيف، خالد لافي كاسب....[و آخرون]. العلاقة بين عرض النقد و التضخم : تحليل قياسي على الاقتصاد الأردني. مجلة الجامعة الإسلامية للدراسات الاقتصادية و الإدارية مج. 26، ع. 1 (كانون الثاني 2018)، ص ص. 62-78.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-796863

American Medical Association (AMA)

النيف، خالد لافي كاسب وشحاتيت، محمد عيسى والطيب، سعود موسى إرشيد. العلاقة بين عرض النقد و التضخم : تحليل قياسي على الاقتصاد الأردني. مجلة الجامعة الإسلامية للدراسات الاقتصادية و الإدارية. 2018. مج. 26، ع. 1، ص ص. 62-78.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-796863

Data Type

Journal Articles

Language

Arabic

Notes

يتضمن مراجع ببليوجرافية : ص. 77-78

Record ID

BIM-796863