تقلبات أسعار النفط و انعكاساتها على معدل النمو الاقتصادي في الجزائر : دراسة تحليلية قياسية للفترة (1986-2017)‎

Abstract EN

This study aims to detect the reflections of Oil Price Fluctuation on the Economic Growth in Algeria during the period (1986 – 2017), using the Vector Error Correction Model ‘VECM’ to test the dynamic relationship between these two variables.

It has been found that the Algerian economy is a revenue-generating economy that relies on fuel revenues to finance the development, which makes economic growth rates highly affected by changes in oil prices.

And that the current oil crisis, despite its negative impact on the national economy, can be seen as a real opportunity for Algeria to diversify its economy in light of its natural and its human potential.