نمذجة التنبؤ بقيمة الواردات الغذائية الجزائرية : آفاق 2022

Abstract EN

We aim through this study to the analysis and diagnosis of the specific factors of the problem food in Algeria, which have affected the value of food imports which are increasing year after year since independence, and that is why we wish to study was both descriptive and analytical modeling and forecasting, we have standard levels until the year 2022, using the methodology of "box-Jenkins.

The study concluded that the behavior of food imports in Algeria is determined by the previous period (t-1) and to the possibility of increasing values in the coming years what assures us that Algeria rely heavily on imports to meet the increasing local demand for food, it is clear evidence of the vulnerability of agricultural production.