استخدام نماذج بوكس جينكيز للتنبؤ بسعر الصرف في السودان خلال الفترة (1990-2030)‎

Other Title(s)

The use of Box Genesis models to predict the exchange rate in Sudan during the period (1990-2030)‎

Author

وراق، وراق علي

Source

مجلة الاقتصاد و المالية

Issue

Vol. 6, Issue 1 (30 Jun. 2020), pp.21-35, 15 p.

Publisher

Hassiba Benbouali University of Chlef Faculty of Economics Trade and Management Sciences Detective Financial and Banking Systems and Macroeconomic Policies in The Light of The Global Transformations

Publication Date

2020-06-30

Country of Publication

Algeria

No. of Pages

15

Main Topic

Economy

Topics

Abstract EN

This study aims to use bucks Genkiz’s model for rate prediction in Sudan. the problem of the of the study stated to search about the best model to measure rate prediction in Sudan due to the absence of stability recently that results in decreasing in production and export. according to the current economic situation, the study assume that the rate will be high permanently. the study found out a lot of important findings, the most important are: the arma (1,2,1) is the best model for rate prediction in Sudan, when the real value and the compared one , there is no converge or rapprochement in the value. the predicted value is less that the real one till 2002 then the predicted value outperformed. the study recommend that exports should be supported and encouraged to increase its outcomes and diversity. the focus should be on the exports that needed outside the country and all facilitation should be presented to the investors to enable them to participate in the production process to increase the product value.

American Psychological Association (APA)

وراق، وراق علي. 2020. استخدام نماذج بوكس جينكيز للتنبؤ بسعر الصرف في السودان خلال الفترة (1990-2030). مجلة الاقتصاد و المالية،مج. 6، ع. 1، ص ص. 21-35.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-939097

Modern Language Association (MLA)

وراق، وراق علي. استخدام نماذج بوكس جينكيز للتنبؤ بسعر الصرف في السودان خلال الفترة (1990-2030). مجلة الاقتصاد و المالية مج. 6، ع. 1 (2020)، ص ص. 21-35.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-939097

American Medical Association (AMA)

وراق، وراق علي. استخدام نماذج بوكس جينكيز للتنبؤ بسعر الصرف في السودان خلال الفترة (1990-2030). مجلة الاقتصاد و المالية. 2020. مج. 6، ع. 1، ص ص. 21-35.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-939097

Data Type

Journal Articles

Language

Arabic

Notes

يتضمن ملاحق : ص. 31-35

Record ID

BIM-939097