العلاقة السببية بين التضخم و حجم ودائع القطاع الخاص و مؤشر سوق عمان المالي : حالة الأردن للفترة 1999-2017

Abstract EN

The study aims to show the correlation between inflation rates and the volume of private sector deposits in Jordan on one hand, and Amman Stock Exchange index for the period of 1999-2017.

The study used the “Vector Auto Regression” model.

Different types of tests are used such as: The “Johansen Co integration” test of joint integration, “Granger causality” test, the “Analysis of Variance Decomposition”, and “Impulse response Function” test.

The results showed there is a positive-one-way causal effect from Amman Stock Exchange index to inflation.

Also, a one-way causal effect that comes from Amman Stock Exchange index to the size of private sector deposits.

Conversely, there was no causal relationship between inflation rates to Amman Stock Exchange index.

Moreover, causal relationship trend is absent from the volume of private sector deposits to Amman Stock Exchange index, where results were not statistically significant.