تحليل و قياس العلاقة بين الإنفاق العام و البطالة في الجزائر خلال الفترة 1980-2016

Abstract EN

This study aimed at analyzing and measuring the relation between the public expenditure and unemployment in Algeria during the period 1980-2016, we used the latest statistical methods have been modern in time series of estimation of the unrestricted regression error correction model (autoregressive Distribution lag (ARDL), this technique is new in analysis the co-integration and error correction models witch more accurate and efficient results.

With the Using the statistical program (EVIEWS-10), the Most Important Findings of this study is: - The Bound Test Approach through F-statistic, that there is a co-integration between the public expenditure, unemployment, by the value of its calculated F-statistic, which is greater than the critical value at the significant level of 1%, 2.5% and 5% And 10%; - The results of the co-integration test indicate a long-term equilibrium relationship between public expenditure and unemployment; - The results indicated a positive relationship between the exchange rate and unemployment, which is statistically significant (5%); - The results indicate that there is an inverse relationship between public expenditure, GDP and unemployment, which is statistically significant (1%).