تحليل العلاقة بين متغيري البطالة و الاقتصاد غير الرسمي باستخدام نموذج شعاع الانحدار الذاتي الهيكلي Svar : حالة الاقتصاد الجزائري خلال الفترة 1970-2017

Abstract EN

The aim of this paper is to analyze the relationship between unemployment rate and the size of the informal economy as a percentage of GDP in Algeria during the period 1970-2017 based on the structural vector auto regression model through long-term constraints on this model to illustrate the response of the informal economy variable due to structural shocks That occur at the level of unemployment rate, The results of the study out of the Impulse Response Functions showed that a structural shock in the unemployment rate of one unit leads to a positive impact on the size of the informal economy reached a maximum level of approximately 0.4% at the end of the second period, however with the beginning of the third year the impact decreases to become almost Absent directly during the fourth year