دراسة قياسية لأثر بعض محددات سعر الصرف–الدولار-على النمو الاقتصادي في الجزائر خلال الفترة (1980-2017)‎ باستخدام ARDL

Abstract EN

This study aims to try to apply econometric modeling of the effect of some determinants of the exchange rate - the dollar - on economic growth in Algeria during the period (1980 - 2017) using the Auto-regressive Distributed Lag (ARDL), in order to try to understand and explain the nature of the economic relationship between some variables (price Exchange, exports, inflation, real interest rates, oil prices) and real GDP.

The study found that there is a long-term relationship between the selected economic variables and their impact on real GDP in Algeria, whether in the short or long term The diversification of the production and exports structure is essential to the success of the exchange rate policy, and therefore a strategy must be developed to diversify the production and exports structure, by shifting from exporting raw materials to exporting industrial products, and directing investments according to sectoral needs with a focus on vital productive sectors, especially industry and agriculture, which in turn helps to reduce inflation and achieve balanced growth in all economic sectors.