العلاقة بين إنتاج و صادرات التمور الجزائرية باستخدام سببية أنجل و جرانجر في الأجل الطويل

Abstract EN

This study aims at analyzing and measuring the causal relationship between production and export of Algerian dates using the long-term causality test adopted by Toda Yamamoto for the period 1961-2017.

Based on the annual data and the Eviews 9 program, the stationarity of both date production and exports was studied.

It was found that these two time series are stationary at the first difference, where the degree of cointegration is the same.

Johansson's cointegration test also showed that there was no single common cointegration.

While the long-term causality test adopted by Toda Yamamoto showed that there is a long-term causal relationship and a single trend of exports to production, as exported dates cause changes in production quantities, while production does not change the exported quantities of dates