نشاط المضاربة في الأسواق الآجلة للنفط و دوره في تقلبات أسعار النفط

Abstract EN

We aim through this study to highlight the role of speculative factor in oil futures markets in the volatility witnessed by oil prices during the first and second decades of the current century by reviewing highlighting the reasons behind the increasing importance of speculative activity in the futures oil market, and its effects on oil prices, And provide mechanisms for controlling and evaluating them, and the study concluded that if the financial innovations that appeared recently in the commodity markets contributed to creating an imaginary demand for oil, which contributed to raising the ceiling of expectations regarding future oil prices, which led to their arrival to record levels, and the emergence of The oil market supply after the second half of 2014, declined the role of speculation in those markets was reflected in a sharp decline in oil prices and heightened volatility.