أثر النمو الصناعي في تفاقم مشكلة الاحتباس الحراري : الهند نموذجا للمدة (1990-2015)‎

Abstract EN

The industrial growth and its progress considered an important integral part of economic growth.

The positive role of the industrial growth in achieving the social and economic well-being, but it is at the same time it leaves negative impact on environment, because it is entirely depend on the traditional energy especially the fossil fuel, which led to the pollution of environment with the gases of global warming.

The research sets out according to a hypothesis that the expiation of industrial activities, which depends on the energy of fossil fuel as a main source, this leads to an increase in the concentration of global warming gases.

Therefore, making to the natural balance of the Earth, leading to environmental problems, and one of them is global warming problem and its consequences on the climate.

India considered as a model for this research for the period (1990-2015).

Using quantitative standard model, least squares method, of two stages, the impact of the indicators are identified through the power of relationship between these indicators and industrial growth indicator (the respondent indicator) for the first model, then identifying the effect of explanatory indicators by using the power of relation between the explanatory indicators and global warming indicators (the respondent indicators).

Through the increase in quantity of CO2 and CH4 emissions for the second and third model, the study concluded that there is a causal and explanatory relation between the explanatory indicators and respondent indicators, and the explanatory indicators (economic activities) had a negative impact on the environment.