تقييم النشاط السياحي في الجزائر و أثره على النمو الاقتصادي : دراسة قياسية للفترة (1995-2016)‎

Abstract EN

This study amis to explore the importance and the role of the tourism sector in supporting the development of the Algerian economy in light of oil prices decline.

The Auto Regressive Distributed lags (ARDL) models is adopted to study the relationship between some indicators of tourism development and economic growth in Algeria.

The results show that there is a cointegration between the variables in the long run.

The GDP is positively related to both receipts tourism and tourists ' number; but it relates negatively with both the tourism expenditure and the actual real exchange rate.

Moreover, Granger's causality tests show that there is a causal relationship from tourism to GDP, which is consistent with the leader tourism hypothesis where tourism activities are a useful tool to increase the country's productivity and thus achieve economic growth.