التنبؤ بالعرض النقدي في الاقتصاد الجزائري باستخدام نماذج ARIMA : دراسة قياسية للفترة (2018 1980)‎

Abstract EN

Studying and analyzing changes in the money supply is of great importance in the economy, especially when this analysis is coupled with decision -making tools and control planning methods, including prediction which is one of the most important of these methods.

In this study we address time series analysis using the Box-Jenkins methodology to predict money supply in the Algerian economy.

The study concluded that the best model to represent the data is ARIMA (0, 1, 1) which is the model that we relied upon to predict future values of the money supply series over the forecasting period.