محددات الإنفاق العام في الجزائر : دراسة قياسية باستخدام نموذج متجه الانحدار الذاتي (var)‎ خلال الفترة 1980-2017

Abstract EN

The study aims at identifying the most important determinants of public spending in Algeria using the VAR model during the period 1980-2017.

Through the results of analysis of the motor behavior of the model, especially in the analysis of public expenditure variance, GDP and oil collection represented a contribution rate of about 16% and 22%, respectively, in the interpretation of variability of the variance of the prediction error of the variable of public expenditure.

We also obtained through the results of the pulse response analysis.

The shock of the first year in GDP by one deviation To Kebbe's vigilance In public spending during the first three years by 57%, 84% and 54%, respectively.

As for the oil revenue, shocks caused large public spending disorders during the years between 66% and 75% Suggest the significant importance of shocks in the variable GDP and petroleum collection in explaining future fluctuations in public.