التحليل الطبقي السببي (Causal Layered Analysis (CLA منهجية جديدة للدراسات المستقبلية في التربية : المرتكزات الفكرية و الإجراءات التطبيقية : دراسة تحليلية نقدية

Abstract EN

By employing the descriptive approach and the method of philosophical analysis, the study aimed at presenting and analyzing the methodology of Causal Layered Analysis (CLA) that developed by the futurist, Sohail Inayatullah, as a new theory and methodology and a multi-level approach to Future Studies in the field of Education.

Causal Layered Analysis is considered to be the first new theory, methodology and technique for conducting Future Studies since the emergence of the Delphi method, nearly forty years ago.

Causal Layered Analysis has been employed in various fields during the past ten years.

The study concluded that the Causal Layered Analysis is a very important methodology for Future Studies in the field of Education, as it is a theory and methodology that is based on critical thought and post-structural philosophy with an interest in Foucault thought.

Causal Layered Analysis focuses on the integrative integration of experiential, interpretative, critical and realistic learning styles.

As a methodology, it is not used only to predict the future, but also to expand spaces to build alternative scenarios.

In addition, the methodology also exceeded the limitations of Future Studies approaches and methods such as their weak ability of unpacking up discourses, worldview, ideologies, and metaphors which constitute the intellectual and procedural basis in the causal analysis methodology.

The methodology is also based on integration between different methods, and combining different research traditions to achieve a balance between in-depth internal views and perspectives of the external world, and this is what makes the methodology unique compared to other methods, and techniques of Future Studies that are limited toemploying external views only.

The researcher believes that this study and its findings can enrich the field of Future Studies in Education due to its novelty.

The researcher recommended conducting more studies according to the proposed procedural framework for employing the methodology.