A Prediction Model of Structural Settlement Based on EMD-SVR-WNN

Abstract EN

Timely and accurate prediction of structural settlement is of great significance to eliminate the hidden danger of structural and prevent structural safety accidents.

Since the deformation monitoring data usually is nonstationary and nonlinear, the deformation prediction is a difficult problem in the structural monitoring research.

Aiming at the problems in the structural deformation prediction model and considering the internal characteristics of deformation monitoring data and the influence of different components in the data on the prediction accuracy, a combined prediction model based on the Empirical Mode Decomposition, Support Vector Regression, and Wavelet Neural Network (EMD-SVR-WNN) is proposed.

EMD model is used to decompose the structure settlement monitoring data, and the settlement data can be effectively divided into relatively stable trend terms and residual components of random fluctuation by energy matrix.

According to the different characteristics of random items and trend items, WNN and SVR methods are, respectively, used for prediction, and the final settlement prediction is obtained by integrating the prediction results.

The measured ground settlement data of foundation pit in subway construction is used to test the performance of the model, and the test results show that the prediction accuracy of the combined prediction model proposed in this paper reaches 99.19%, which is 77.30% higher than the traditional SVR, WNN, and DBN-SVR models.

The experimental results show that the proposed prediction model is an effective model of structural settlement.