Prediction of China’s Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Discrete Grey Model with Fractional Order Generation Operators
Joint Authors
Meng, Wei
Yang, Daoli
Huang, Hui
Source
Issue
Vol. 2018, Issue 2018 (31 Dec. 2018), pp.1-13, 13 p.
Publisher
Hindawi Publishing Corporation
Publication Date
2018-01-29
Country of Publication
Egypt
No. of Pages
13
Main Subjects
Abstract EN
Sulfur dioxide is an important source of atmospheric pollution.
Many countries are developing policies to reduce sulfur dioxide emissions.
In this paper, a novel prediction model is proposed, which could be used to forecast sulfur dioxide emissions.
To improve the modeling procedure, fractional order accumulating generation operator and fractional order reducing generation operator are introduced.
Based on fractional order operators, a discrete grey model with fractional operators is developed, which also makes use of genetic algorithms to optimize the modeling parameter r.
The improved performance of the model is demonstrated via comparison studies with other grey models.
The model is then used to predict China’s sulfur dioxide emissions.
The forecast result shows that the amount of sulfur dioxide emissions is steadily decreasing and the policies of sulfur dioxide reduction in China are effective.
According to the current trend, by 2020, the value of China’s sulfur dioxide emissions will be only 86.843% of emissions in 2015.
Fractional order generation operators can be used to develop other fractional order system models.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Meng, Wei& Yang, Daoli& Huang, Hui. 2018. Prediction of China’s Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Discrete Grey Model with Fractional Order Generation Operators. Complexity،Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1136272
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Meng, Wei…[et al.]. Prediction of China’s Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Discrete Grey Model with Fractional Order Generation Operators. Complexity No. 2018 (2018), pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1136272
American Medical Association (AMA)
Meng, Wei& Yang, Daoli& Huang, Hui. Prediction of China’s Sulfur Dioxide Emissions by Discrete Grey Model with Fractional Order Generation Operators. Complexity. 2018. Vol. 2018, no. 2018, pp.1-13.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1136272
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references
Record ID
BIM-1136272