Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model

Joint Authors

Ifguis, Ousama
El Ghozlani, Mohamed
Ammou, Fouzia
Moutcine, Abdelaziz
Abdellah, Zeroual

Source

Journal of Environmental and Public Health

Issue

Vol. 2020, Issue 2020 (31 Dec. 2020), pp.1-5, 5 p.

Publisher

Hindawi Publishing Corporation

Publication Date

2020-06-02

Country of Publication

Egypt

No. of Pages

5

Main Subjects

Public Health
Medicine

Abstract EN

Since the epidemic of COVID-19 was declared in Wuhan, Hubei Province of China, and other parts of the world, several studies have been carried out over several regions to observe the development of the epidemic, to predict its duration, and to estimate its final size, using complex models such as the SEIR model or the simpler ones such as the SIR model.

These studies showed that the SIR model is much more efficient than the SEIR model; therefore, we are applying this model in the Kingdom of Morocco since the appearance of the first case on 2 March 2020, with the objective of predicting the final size of the epidemic.

American Psychological Association (APA)

Ifguis, Ousama& El Ghozlani, Mohamed& Ammou, Fouzia& Moutcine, Abdelaziz& Abdellah, Zeroual. 2020. Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model. Journal of Environmental and Public Health،Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-5.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1184490

Modern Language Association (MLA)

Ifguis, Ousama…[et al.]. Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model. Journal of Environmental and Public Health No. 2020 (2020), pp.1-5.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1184490

American Medical Association (AMA)

Ifguis, Ousama& El Ghozlani, Mohamed& Ammou, Fouzia& Moutcine, Abdelaziz& Abdellah, Zeroual. Simulation of the Final Size of the Evolution Curve of Coronavirus Epidemic in Morocco using the SIR Model. Journal of Environmental and Public Health. 2020. Vol. 2020, no. 2020, pp.1-5.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1184490

Data Type

Journal Articles

Language

English

Notes

Includes bibliographical references

Record ID

BIM-1184490