دراسة قياسية لأثر تقلبات أسعار النفط على بعض متغيرات الاقتصاد الكلي باستعمال منهجية SVAR للفترة (2018-1980)‎

Abstract EN

This study aims to highlight the effect of oil price changes on money supply, unemployment, government spending in Algeria during the period (1980-2018) by using causality tests and relying on the SVAR structural regression methodology.

The study found that there is a significant impact of fluctuations in oil prices on the rest of the variables, that is, it contributes significantly to improving the predictive power of the studied macroeconomic variables, as the study showed that there is a positive relationship between oil prices and between government spending and the size of the monetary mass and an inverse relationship between oil prices and the rate of Unemployment, which confirms the preconception about the nature of the Algerian economy.