استخدام نماذج ARIMA للتنبؤ بنمو حجم أصول صناعة التمويل الإسلامي العالمي أفاق 2026

Abstract EN

JEL: C13, C32, O43, G21.

The aim of this study is to high light the achievements of the islamic banking& finance in the international markets, and presented the indicators of global islamic finance industry growth (great development for the industry in number of working institutions, the growth of islamic sukuk, the growth of islamic investment funds, growth of takaful industry, growth of the assets of islamic finance industry).

This research includes a study of box-jenkins models for the forecasting the growth of the assets of the global islamic finance industry.

Therefore, we will try in this study to model a chain of volume of assets during the periode 1975-2018, to predict its evolution by 2026, the best model was ARIMA(0.

1.

3) from performance of predict methods, with volume of the assets of the global islamic finance industry expected to grow to 5.

6 trillion$ prospect for 2026.

JEL: Classification: C13, C32, O43, G21.