تقدير نموذج الطلب شبة الامثل للموالح المصرية في أهم التكتلات الاقتصادية العالمية

Abstract EN

The issue of Egyptian exports is at the forefront of priorities because it is one of the main sources of obtaining foreign exchange, and a means to reduce the deficit in the balance of payments.

The problem of the research is that despite the importance of Egyptian citrus as an important export crop, and Egypt is ranked third as the most important citrus exporting country in the world However, Egyptian citrus exports face strong competition in global markets, and the main objective of the research is to estimate the functions of demand for Egyptian citrus exports in the most important global clusters, using the semi-optimal demand model in order to identify the possibility of increasing its competitiveness in those markets.

The price demand for Egyptian citrus indicates that an increase in its prices by about 1% leads to a decrease in demand for it in the Russian market by about 0.74% , and this means that it is a commodity with inelastic demand in this market, as shown by the elasticities of price demand for Egyptian citrus that the increase in its prices is about 1% leads to a decrease in demand for it in the Chinese market by about 0.03% , and this means that it is a commodity with inelastic demand in this market, as the results indicate The price demand for Egyptian citrus fruits indicated that an increase in their prices by about 1% leads to a decrease in demand for them in the Indian market by about 0.45% , and this means that they are a commodity with inelastic demand in this market.