العلاقة بين الفساد وعدم الاستقرار السياسي و النمو الاقتصادي في مصر خلال الفترة (1990-2018)‎

Abstract EN

This research aims to analyze the quantitative and causal relationships between corruption, political instability and economic growth in Egypt.

that is through studying the relationship between these three variables in economic literature, and their developed in the Egyptian economy during the study period, then through the standard model that depends on the integration method of Johansson, and the model (VECM) was measured quantitative and causal relations between them in the long and short term.

The results of the long-term measurement show that the relationship between corruption and economic growth was positive, that the relationship between political instability and economic growth was negative, and that the relationship between corruption and political instability was positive and each supported the other.

The results of causal relationships in the long term also a bidirectional relationship between each: economic growth and the size of corruption, the size of investment and the size of corruption, and therefore the relationship between both of them is complementary, and political instability causes corruption, not the other way around.

The short-term results are somewhat in line with the long-term results, although the results are more overlapping and more visible in the long term.