أثر علاقة التبادل التجاري بين العراق وتركيا على النمو الاقتصادي العراقي باستخدام أنموذج الانحدار الذاتي للإبطاء الموزع (ARDL)‎

Abstract EN

This study aims to show the extent to which Iraq benefits from trade exchange between it and Turkey, and the study dealt with an analytical aspect about the nature of trade exchange in terms of Turkey's exports to Iraq and vice versa.

As well as the rate of economic growth expressed in the gross domestic product, as well as identifying the degree of exposure of one of them to the other, and used the study on the standard side is the Autoregressive Distributed Deceleration (ARDL) model by the Eviwes12 program.

The time-series stability was tested, the short and long-term relationship and the co-complementarity relationship tested between them, as well as the diagnostic tests for the standard model test.

Turkey was limited to consumer goods that do not contribute to economic growth.

As for Turkey's imports from the Iraqi side, it was limited to one commodity, which is crude oil.

The study recommended the necessity of rationalizing imports and directing them towards capital and intermediate goods that contribute to the development of commodity sectors and thus achieve the largest possible amount of Economic and social benefits.