قياس و تحليل دور قطاع الصناعة التحويلية في النشاط الاقتصادي في الاقتصاد العراقي باستخدام أنموذج الانحدار الذاتي للإبطاء الموزع (ARDl)‎

Abstract EN

The political and economic transformations that Iraq witnessed after 2003 and the adoption of the philosophy of the market economy in a way that was not prepared for it led to more structural imbalances.

The Iraqi economy, and thus the Iraqi economy remained suffering from the reality of industrial dependency, and failed to achieve and strengthen economic independence.

Therefore, the research aims to highlight the reality of the manufacturing industry and its role in the economic activity in Iraq for the period (1991-2017).

And to identify the most important options facing the future of the manufacturing industry for the industrial sector in the next stage.

In order to achieve these goals the research was based on the assumption that the rational orientations of the policies Economic in the industrial sector had a great impact on the weak role of the manufacturing industry in economic activity during the research period.

In order to accept or reject this hypothesis, the research adopted building a standard model using the Autoregressive Distributed Deceleration (ARDL) model.