الآثار الاقتصادية و الاجتماعية للتغيرات السياسية على الأسرة الريفية بمحافظة الفيوم

Abstract EN

The study mainly aimed to identify the socio- economic effects of political changes on the rural family in Fayoum Governorate, by achieving the following sub-objectives: monitoring and analyzing economic changes in the Egyptian countryside before and after the period of political changes, and monitoring and analyzing social changes in the Egyptian countryside before and after the period of changes In the study sample, identifying the social effects of political changes on the rural family in the sample, and presenting a set of proposals to reduce the negative effects of political changes on the rural family, in light of the results of the study.

Fayoum Governorate was selected to conduct the current study, and since it is difficult to collect research data from the total number of rural households, a regular random sample of them was selected, with a size of 360 rural families, and this number of households was distributed among the study villages with the same percentage of presence in the comprehensive That is, 169 rural families in the village of Dar Al-Ashram, 155 rural families in the village of Al-Gharq, and 36 rural families in the village of Al-Jumhuriya.

The study relied on two methods to obtain the necessary data: to obtain secondary data from various official sources, and to obtain the field data necessary for the study through standardized personal interviews with the heads of the families surveyed in the research sample, by using a questionnaire form prepared to obtain the necessary data to achieve the objectives of the study.

A pre-test was conducted for the items of the questionnaire, to ensure the validity of the questions and the extent of the respondents ’understanding of their language.

In light of the results of this test, the necessary amendments were made, and then the questionnaire was formulated in its final form.

The data was collected during the period from January to April 2018, after the completion of data collection and review, a guide was designed for coding, and on the basis of which the data was manually unloaded and entered into the computer for analysis using the SPSS statistical program.

The following is a summary of the study's main findings: 1.

With regard to changes in area, productivity and agricultural investments, the results showed a decrease in the agricultural area during the post-political change period.

The results also showed an increase in the feddan productivity of most agricultural crops, the main ones in particular, during the post-political change period, in addition to the fact that the percentage of agricultural investment out of the total national investments is almost constant during the two periods (before and after the political changes).

2.

With regard to the changes in self-sufficiency ratios of the most important food commodities, it has been evident that the self-sufficiency rate of most fruit crops has decreased during the post-political change period, in contrast to the high self-sufficiency ratios of each of: cereal crops, some oil crops, and red meat.

Moreover, the results indicated that the self-sufficiency rate of some vegetable crops remained stable during the periods before and after the political changes.

3.

With regard to the change in birth and death rates, the results showed an increase in crude birth rates in the Egyptian countryside from 29.7 per thousand of the population in 2009 to 34.3 per thousand of the population in general 2012, in contrast to the constant death rate around 5.9 per thousand of the population during the same period.

The two periods.

4.

With regard to the change in the conditions of agricultural cooperative societies,