أثر تغير أسعار البترول على النفقات العامة في الجزائر : دراسة تحليلية قياسية للفترة ما بين 1970-2017

Abstract EN

The study aims to identify both the development of public expenditures and oil prices in Algeria and determine the relationship between them.

On the other hand, the study aims to develop a standard model that explains and analyzes the nature of the relationship between the two variables during the period 1970/2017, with the identification of the most important mechanisms and effective policies to get out of the economic dependence of natural resources in developing countries in general and in Algeria in particular, this study theoretically found a direct correlation between the growth of oil prices and the growth of public expenditures in Algeria, while in practice the study reached the stability of both oil prices and public expenditures in the first and second differences respectively.

And inversely with oil prices for the first, second and third slowdown respectively, On the other hand, the analysis of variance and the impact of structural shocks of the SVAR model has yielded mixed results.

The study recommended the adoption of a policy of economic diversification and rehabilitation of the human element as a mechanism for the successful exit from the economic dependence of natural resources.