أثر الإنفتاح التجاري على عبئ الدين الخارجي في مصر باستخدام منهجية الانحدار الذاتي للفجوات الزمنية الموزعة (ARDL)‎ خلال الفترة 1980-2018

Abstract EN

This study aims to identify the impact of trade openness on the external debt burden in Egypt based on time series in cluding the period from 1980 to 2018.

In order to achieve this goal, a standard methodology known as (ARDL), is used.

The results of this study revealed that trade openness affects positively on the external debt burden in the short term through the trade openness variable which ist he ratio of imports tot he GDP, and affects adversely on the external debt burden through the trade openness variable wich is determinants of trade, As fort he long term it affects positively on the external debt burden through bot hof determinants of trade variable and the ratio of imports variable tot he GDP.

The study pointed out the necessty of encouraging industrial exports with added value and financing projets that reduce the economy's need to import.