التنبؤ لقياس تطور الصناعات الغذائية في الجزائر باستخدام نماذج السلاسل الزمنية

Abstract EN

This research aims to determine the best and most efficient model through the use of time series models to study and analyze the annual data of the added values of the food industries in Algeria for the period from 2010 to 2019, whereas this models are distinct with high accuracy and flexibility in time series analysis.

The applied results showed that the appropriate and efficient model for representing the time series data is the ARIMA (1,1,1) model.

According to the results of estimating this model, the added values of the food industries were predicted for the period from 2020 to 2030, as these values showed consistency with their counterparts in the original time series.