قياس درجة المخاطرة لمشاريع تربية الأسماك في الاحواض الترابية و الاقفاص العائمة في العراق : محافظة ديالى- أنموذج تطبيقي

Abstract EN

The research aimed to measure the degree of risk for fish farms projects in fish ponds and floating cages in Diyala governorate, and adopted the method of break-even analysis to measure the productive and price risk, and use of the criterion of the difference coefficient for the return on investment to measure the investment risk, Diyala province was chosen as an application model and the field data collected according to the random sample method, which included 30% of the total fish farm projects in the governorate, as the sample included 28% of the total fish ponds projects in earthen ponds and 31.5% of the total fish ponds projects in floating cages based on a questionnaire form prepared for this purpose, and for the purposes of accuracy in measuring risk The sample was divided according to the size of production capacities into small production capacities and large production capacities for fish farms projects in fish ponds and in floating cages, and in light of studying the risk criteria for projects for the research sample, it was reached using the criterion of difference coefficient of the return on investment for the studied projects.

The degree of productive, price and investment risk is high in floating cages compared to earthen ponds because they achieve higher economic returns than those achieved by fish ponds.

As for the degree of risk of fish farming projects in both types of culture according to the size of production capacities, it has been shown in light of the above-mentioned criteria that the degree of risk Productivity and price increased with small production capacities, but decreased in large production capacities for both types of fish farms (fish ponds, floating cages).