البعد المكاني للنمو السكاني وتأثيره على المعيار المستدام للمناطق الخضراء في مركز مدينة الناصرية

Abstract EN

The problem of green areas is one of the most complex urban planning problems in the center of Nasiriyah city under the influence of the rapid population growth with annual growth rates of 2.8% in urban areas.

and that the outlet from the basic design is small, and that the areas designated as green areas were developed according to the Iraqi local standard, I.

e.

there is a gap between the growing population size and the green areas.

the spatial dimension of population growth in the center of Nasiriyah city is inconsistent with the green areas due to the rapid population growth.

the study aims to draw the future picture of the city through the expansion of new neighborhoods and the increase of green areas under the impact of the population growth.

then forecasting for the sustainable standard and green areas for the period (2021-2026) to accommodate population growth and provide the normative share of green areas, study adopted the descriptive and analytical method.

the study found when comparing between the reality and the sustainable standard of green areas in the study area, the reality of green areas is less than the sustainable standard, that is meaning the spatial dimension of population growth has a negative impact on the sustainable standard for green areas.

It recorded a varying deficiency of this effect and a decline in the per capita share of green areas, and the trend of reality indicators indicates a deficit in green areas under the influence of population growth.

the trend of reality indicators indicates a deficit in green areas under the influence of population growth, so it calls for predicting the size of the population and the sustainable standard of green areas for the next five years, and the most important result is that decision-makers have to provide new neighborhoods through expansion, otherwise the green areas will disappear in the center of Nasiriyah city.

the study recommends to increase green areas in populated areas and expanding in new neighborhoods to reduce the gap between reality and the sustainable standard.

the study suggests also to the decision maker anticipates population growth after five years under the influence of potential population growth.