قياس وتحليل اتجاهات النمو الاقتصادي في دولة الأمارات والعراق للمدة (2000-2013)‎

Abstract EN

The study of the economic growth of any country of important topics and difficult at the same time because its importance comes from the need for continued economic growth and influenced its development and sustainability with the times in order to achieve the goal of development and promote the economic well-being of the number of current and future populations.

the process of growth in the UAE may be easy and understandable and there is no need to complicate it because its economy enjoys a kind of stability and diversity in resources.

as for Iraq, the issue of growth is complex and thorny from several aspects, some of which go back to previous eras, and the other is due to the political and security events that the country went through until nowadays.

therefore, what the research dealt with in the first topic (the theoretical framework for economic growth and economic development) is divided into three demands: the first requirement is the theoretical framework for economic growth, the second requirement is the sources of economic growth, and the third requirement is the theoretical framework for economic development.

the second topic (analysis of the economic variables of the UAE and Iraq for the period (2000-2013) was divided into two demands that included in the first requirement the analysis of the variables of the UAE economy, and the second requirement analyzing the variables of the Iraqi economy.

in the third topic (measuring and analyzing the economic growth of the United Arab Emirates and Iraq for the period (2000-2013) dealt with two requirements, the first requirement is the description and formulation of standard models, and the second requirement is the assessment and analysis of the elected standard models.

as well as in the third section was conducted test preprocessing indicators included growth in the standard models by testing unit root (test Dickey Fuller expanded), where the results indicate that the growth indicators Emirates to the states and Egypt stable at second difference and the level of significance of 5%.

as in Iraq, the indicators growth has stabilized in the first difference and the level of significance of 5%.

add to the use of economic measurement methods through a model of the production function (Cobb-Douglus) and model (Kaldor) and methods of mathematical measurement through a model (Harrod-Doumar) to see economic growth in those countries level as well as in support of the analysis which was based on numerical facts.

it turned out to be the best model for a function production (cup Douglus) is in Egypt, where the flexibility of the labor (salaries and wages) 0.23 and flexibility of the total fixed capital formation 0.22, the best model for Kaldor is in the UAE reaching productivity parameter that was larger than the one right denote 2.174 high production efficiency, and the best model of Harrod-Doumar was in Iraq as the Iraqi economy achieved a maximum rate of economic growth in 2004, reaching 35.13%.