تحولات نخبة النظام الحاكم في الحرب الأهلية السورية (2016-2021)‎ : مقاربة سوسيو-اقتصادية

Abstract EN

This article analyses changes that occurred to the landscape of the political and economic elites during the Syrian civil war and focuses in particular on transformations that ensued once the regime’s focus turned away from winning the war and toward consolidating power.

it is argued that weak leaders operating in networks where regime elites are fractured can find themselves in a state of "precarious stability", where there is no need to immediately engage in power- sharing with elites but the potential for elite networks to evolve into a threat is high.

in such cases, leaders are motivated by strategic incentives to make frequent changes to the elite landscape to prevent powerful networks from arising within the regime.

this empirical analysis provides evidence that the syrian regime’s efforts to maintain assad’s rule have been characterized by drastic repeated changes to both who is favoured and the extent of their reach within Syria.