أثر تقلبات سعر الصرف الرسمي و الانفتاح الاقتصادي على التضخم و الميزان التجاري في الجزائر مقارنة مع بعض الدول العربية خلال الفترة (1990-2020)‎ باستخدام نماذج PANEL ARDL و PANAL NARDL

Abstract EN

This study aims at knowing with application of standard modeling showing the impact of fluctuations in the official exchange rate and economic openness on inflation and the trade balance in Algeria in comparison with some Arab countries during the period (1990-2020), in order to explain the nature of the economic relationship between the explanatory variables and the two dependent variables in Algeria, in comparison with other Arab countries chosen in this study.

The assessment results concluded that there is a long-term relationship between the independent variables; official exchange rate, and trade openness with the two dependent variables; the inflation rate and the trade balance, also exchange rate fluctuations have a long-term inverse effect on the inflation rate, while economic openness had a long-term positive effect on the inflation rate, and that positive exchange rate changes have an inverse relationship with the trade balance in contrast to negative exchange rate changes that had a direct long-term relationship with the trade balance in the group of Arab countries included in study, and the effect was more severe in Egypt and Jordan in comparison with Bahrain, Algeria and Saudi Arabia.