تحليل و قياس أثر التقلبات في أسعار النفط العالمية على الأجور الحقيقية في الجزائر باستخدام نموذج الانحدار الذاتي (VAR)‎ للفترة 1980-2020

Abstract EN

The continuous fluctuations in world oil prices are receiving wide attention at the global and local levels especially in recent years after the shocks continued to rise and fall, with economies exposed to economic, political and health crises because it has negative effects on the economic performance of various sectors and economic markets the most important of which is the labor market and the issue of real wages.

this study aims to analyze and measure the impact of fluctuations in international oil prices on real wages in Algeria during the time period 1980-2020 by using an vector auto-regression model (VAR) with the measurement of differences in wage responses to fluctuations in international oil prices by analyzing the model impulse response function (IRF) .the study concluded that there is a varying effect of the study variables on the level of real wages in Algeria and it ranged between positive and negative, as fluctuations in oil prices, the level of teaching and changes in monetary reserves have a direct positive impact on real wages and to a lesser extent on the level of real wages for all workers, and that they among the shocks most explained in the medium and long term, while a negative impact of government spending on real workers' wages was found.