تحليل مؤشرات أداء بعض منغيرات الإقتصاد الكلي في اليمن : دراسة تحليلية قياسية للفترة (2011-2019)‎

Abstract EN

The study aims to analyze the performance indicators of some macroeconomic variables in Yemen as a standard analytical study for the period (2011 - 2019), where the study used the descriptive approach and standard analysis through the use of the E-Views program.

The brutal aggression by the Saudi-Emirati-American coalition on Yemen since March 26 / 2015 and until now, where the study showed many results, the most prominent of which is that the Yemeni economy was suffering from fragility in its economic structure due to poor management and the spread of corruption and its diversity in many forms The study showed that the multiplicity of crises and regional and local wars, starting with the Gulf War, then the war of consolidation of unity, then the six wars in Saada, and the events of the Arab Spring in the year 2011 had a negative impact on the Yemeni economy, as shown by the indicators of economic variables such as the exchange rate, the trade balance deficit and the general budget deficit.

The state that it was in decline because of the war and the siege.

The result of the standard analysis showed that the inflation rate had a negative impact on real GDP and was statistically and morally significant.

Whenever the inflation rate increased by 1%, this led to a decrease in real GDP by 265272.663101 riyals.

The study also presented some proposed policies to improve the performance of macroeconomic variables.

The study recommended the importance of economic and political stability in Yemen in order to improve the performance of macroeconomic indicators and the need to strive hard towards ending the division in the central monetary institutions, as this division directly serves the politics of the countries of aggression and does not have the slightest benefit on the Yemeni economy, whether in the governorates under the control of the countries of aggression Or the northern provinces liberated from it.

And work to improve the means of revenue collection while rationing expenditures in line with the deteriorating economic situation imposed by the countries of aggression through the unjust siege on our country by land, sea and air, in light of Arab and international silence on these barbaric practices.

By supporting and encouraging agricultural production, especially those governorates that have a comparative advantage in the agricultural production achieved in the governorates of Al-Jawf, Al-Hodeidah, Hadramout and others to reach self sufficiency in wheat from this strategic commodity.