
Using ca-Markov model to predict land useland cover changes in Bayer and al-bassit region, latakia, Syria
Other Title(s)
استخدام نموذج CA-Markov للتنبؤ بتغيرات استعمالات الأراضي - الغطاء الأرضي في منطقة الباير و البسيط، اللاذقية،سورية
Joint Authors
Murhij, Ula Ali
Ali, Mahmud Kamil
Thabit, Ali
Source
Agricultural and Marine Sciences : Research Journal
Issue
Vol. 27, Issue 2 (31 Dec. 2022), pp.50-58, 9 p.
Publisher
Sultan Qaboos University College of Agricultural and Marine Sciences
Publication Date
2022-12-31
Country of Publication
Oman
No. of Pages
9
Main Subjects
Earth Sciences, Water and Environment
Abstract EN
Recently, land use change models have become important tools to support the analysis of land use dynamics.
This research was aimed at the evaluating and predicting the land use/land cover change dynamics in Bayer and al-Bassit region of northwestern Latakia, Syria.
In this paper, we used Cellular Automata and Markov Chain models to predict the LULC changes that are likely to occur by 2030 in Bayer and al-Bassit region.
Three Landsat images acquired in the years of 1992, 2005, and 2018 were classified using Maximum Likelihood Classification algorithm and used as the input data for CA-Markov models.
Kappa index was used to validate the model, and the overall accuracy recorded 79.34%.
Based on a transition area matrix and transition rules a LULC map for the year 2030 were predicted.
Compared to the LULC status of the reference year 2018, a significant reduction is likely to occur in 2030 in the forest area.
This reduction might be in favor of the growth of agricultural land and urban area.
The result shows CA-Markov model ability to predict future LULC changes in Bayer and al-Bassit region, and its importance for planners and land use managers.
American Psychological Association (APA)
Murhij, Ula Ali& Ali, Mahmud Kamil& Thabit, Ali. 2022. Using ca-Markov model to predict land useland cover changes in Bayer and al-bassit region, latakia, Syria. Agricultural and Marine Sciences : Research Journal،Vol. 27, no. 2, pp.50-58.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1439670
Modern Language Association (MLA)
Murhij, Ula Ali…[et al.]. Using ca-Markov model to predict land useland cover changes in Bayer and al-bassit region, latakia, Syria. Agricultural and Marine Sciences : Research Journal Vol. 27, no. 2 (2022), pp.50-58.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1439670
American Medical Association (AMA)
Murhij, Ula Ali& Ali, Mahmud Kamil& Thabit, Ali. Using ca-Markov model to predict land useland cover changes in Bayer and al-bassit region, latakia, Syria. Agricultural and Marine Sciences : Research Journal. 2022. Vol. 27, no. 2, pp.50-58.
https://search.emarefa.net/detail/BIM-1439670
Data Type
Journal Articles
Language
English
Notes
Includes bibliographical references : p. 56-58
Record ID
BIM-1439670