محددات التجارة الخارجية لأهم الصادرات المصرية الزراعية باستخدام نموذج الجاذبية

Abstract EN

Despite the importance of Egyptian agricultural exports, there are many challenges that lead to fluctuations in the exported quantities, and these challenges may be local or global, and the potato and orange crops are considered among the most important of those crops, which Egypt enjoys a competitive advantage in their exports, and the study aimed to identify the most important Determinants that affect the quantity of exports in addition to the gravity model measurement of potato and orange crops.

The study found the most important determinants of an impact on the amount of exports, which is the increase in the exchange rate and the increase in area and production for both crops, and that foreign investment had a positive and significant effect on the increase in exports.

About 5.1%, the study found the most important determinants of an impact on the amount of exports, which is the increase in the exchange rate and the increase in area and production for both crops, and that foreign investment had a positive and significant effect on the increase in exports.

About 5.1% and the significance of the distance was not proven in this model - the language significance was confirmed, and the modified model indicated that the significance of the whole model was confirmed at the level of 0.01.

However, the per capita Egyptian GDP was not proven to be significant, and the distance to the negative significance was also proven, as when the distance increases by 10%, exports decrease by 13.7%.

The GDP of these countries increased by 10%, leading to an increase in exports by 1.86% and 9.3%, respectively.

The significance of the effect of distance, with an increase of 10%, led to a decrease in exports by 16.3%, as it became clear from the modified model to the significance of all the variables in the modified model for oranges at a significant level of 0.01.

The study recommended the need to expand the cultivation of oranges and potatoes, study competitive markets and open new market