دراسة اقتصادية لمحصول الأرز في مصر

Abstract EN

The research aims to measure the effects of some policies on rice production in Egypt during the period (2000-2019) through using partial equilibrium model.

In addition.

studying productivity.

economic and consumer indicators.

in addition the relationship between the net return.

farm prices.

total costs and pound return for the rice crop during the period (2000-2019).

The results of the research showed that all of cultivated area.

productivity.

and production decrease by about 1.48%.

0.33%.

1.74%.

during the period (2000-2019).

Also estimates showed a decrease in the available consumption of rice by about 0.16% from the average amounting to about 5.191 thousand tons during the period (2000-2019).

as well as a decrease in the surplus of rice by about 4.79 from the average of about 641 thousand tons during the period (2000-2019).

The per capita share of food decreased at a rate of about 2.89% from the average amounting to about 43.9 kg/year during the period (2000-2018).and declining self-sufficiencyby about 1.39% from the average of about 109 thousand tons during the period (2000-2019).

By studying the economic indicators.

the results showed an increase in agricultural prices of rice by about 8.43 from the average.

which amounted 1778 pounds / ton.

respectively.

during the period (2000-2019).

As well as an increase in the total costs of rice by about 0.09%.

from the average 4522 pounds / feddan.

respectively.

during the period (2000-2019).

as well as an increase in the net yield per feddan by about 5.83 from the average amounting 2677 pounds / feddan during the period (2000- 2019).

and the pound’s return decreased by about 2.18 from the average.

which amounted 0.64 pounds.

respectively.

during the period (2000-2019).

On the other hand.

the stability coefficient indicated that .

Kafr El-Sheikh.

Beheira.

Dakahlia.

and Sharqia have an economic stability for the area planted with rice during the period (2000 - 2019).

whose value ranged between (zero.

40%).

by about 22%.

10%.

17%.

14%.

respectively.

While the governorate of Gharbia.

Al Qalboobia was the least stable governorate with a percentage of about 63% .152%.

respectively.

during the research period.

The degree of economic stability of the feddan productivity of the rice crop in the most important governorates of Egypt during the period (2000-2019).

showed that Beheira.

Gharbia.

Kafr El-Sheikh.

Dakahlia.

Sharqia.

and Qalubiyahave a degree of economic stability.

by about 5%.

7%.

5 %.

4%.

6%.

and 5%.

respectively.

during the period (2000 - 2019).

In addition.

by using the partial equilibrium model of rice in Egypt at current prices during the period (2000-2019) 1- The average consumer economic loss of rice in Egypt during the period (2000- 2019) as a result of the decrease in its price compared to the border price amounted by about 51 million pounds.

2- The change in the surplus product also showed that the average change in the surplus producer of rice in Egypt during the period (2000-2019) amounted by about 5308 million pounds.

3- The change in consumer surplus indicates that the average change in consumer surplus for rice in Egypt during the same period amounted to about 2446 millionpound.

4- It is clear that the average economic loss has an impact on rice imports in Egypt during the period (2000-2019).

which amounted by about 558 million pounds.

due to the inefficiency of resource distribution Productivity and consumer spending of rice and vice versa in the case of achieving an economic gain during the research period.