دراسة اقتصادية للشراكة التجارية الزراعية المصرية الأوروبية : بين الواقع و المأمول

Abstract EN

Foreign trade is one of the main pillars of the national economy, as export is a basic pillar in providing external monetary sources, and imports are one of the main pillars that countries usually resort to to provide goods in general and strategic goods in particular that are not sufficient for their domestic production, and as the union The European is considered the largest trading partner for Egypt, which has effects on Egyptian agriculture, so the research problem is determined in the following question: What is the value of the positive and negative effects resulting from the Egyptian partnership with the European Union countries on exports and agricultural imports? The most important research findings were as follows: - It turned out that the current Egyptian agricultural exports in the first period were greater with 13 countries, and less with 14 countries, amounting to about$ 783.41 million, compared to about$ 596.84 million for potential, while in the second period, about $817.70 million, compared to about$ 666.41 million for potential.

- It turned out that the current Egyptian agricultural imports in the first period were greater with 15 countries, and less with 12 countries, amounting to about$ 2530.63 million, compared to about$ 2102.97 million for potential, while in the second period they were larger with 20 countries, and less with 7 countries Where it amounted to about $ 2002.45 million, compared to about $ 816.00 million for potential.

- Shows the current Egyptian agricultural trade in the first period was greater with 15 countries, and less with 12 countries, amounting to about $ 3314.04 million, compared to about $ 2699.80 million for potential, while in the second period it was greater with 20 countries, and less with 7 countries, It amounted to about $ 2820.15 million, compared to about $ 1482.41 million for potential.

- It turned out that to increase Egyptian agricultural exports to the European Union, focus on 14 countries should, in particular France and Germany, and to reduce Egyptian agricultural imports, from the European Union should focus on 15 countries, especially France, the Netherlands and Romania.

- The comparison of the two periods showed a decrease in the relative importance of the value of Egyptian agricultural exports to European Union countries of 15 countries, the most important of which are Ireland, Luxembourg, Malta and Sweden.

And increase of 12 countries, the most important of which are Cyprus and Slovenia.

- The comparison of the two periods showed an increase in the relative importance of the value of Egyptian agricultural imports from the European Union to 8 countries, the most important of which are Cyprus, Latvia, Lithuania and the United Kingdom.

Against the decline of 19 countries, the most important of which are Finland, Greece, Hungary and Poland.

- The decrease in the average value of the Egyptian agricultural exports to European Union countries reached about 18.9%.

And rise in the average value of Egyptian agricultural imports from European Union countries reached about 177.4% with about 117.8% for trade.