محاولة نمذجة المردودية الدراسية لتلاميذ الثانية ثانوي إعدادي: توظيف قاعدة بيانات العينة الوطنية للدراسة الدولية Timss-2015

Abstract EN

Objective of this study is to describe and explain the impact of some factors, whether individual, family or school-related, on the educational performance of the students in general, and on the low level of performance of Moroccan students in international studies tests to evaluate the effectiveness and strength of educational systems all over the world through the results obtained by students of these countries.

we target here the results of the international study of trends in mathematics and science TIMSS-2015, in particular.

we depended, in our research, on the database of the international study of trends in mathematics and science (TIMSS-2015), which contained a sample of 13035 students from middle schools, 8th grade, and 1108 professors of mathematics and science teachers (natural sciences, physics and chemistry), and 345 educational institutions.

in the beginning, the sample was studied with a descriptive statistical study of some characteristics of the pupils, their families and their school environment and the variation in the distribution of the results of the sample members according to these features.

after, we moved to the inference study to vary the results of these students in the TIMSS tests and their correlation with different individual, family, and school factors and their effect on students' chances of meeting the average performance threshold (475 points), and repeat that on the high-performance threshold (550 points); then compare the results obtained in each case, by adopting bilateral logistic regression.

the results of modeling study performance at the international average performance threshold (475 points) for Moroccan students concluded that there is a statistically significant effect between each of the individual variables of the student (aspiration, the frequency of absence, tendencies towards a scientific study subject, language difficulties, a feeling of safety in school) and the variables family (belonging to families of modest means, receiving private lessons outside of school) and school variables (integration of information and communication technology in teaching, teacher age, sense of safety in school, seniority of the principal) and the level of student performance at this threshold.