دور نمو الإنتاجية في الحد من العجز في الميزان التجاري المصري خلال الفترة (1990-2018)‎

Abstract EN

This paper examines the role of productivity growth to reducing the deficit in the Egyptian trade balance during the period (1990-2018).

in this study, the ordinary least square method (OLS) under the E-View software has been used for the econometric analysis to test the relationship between productivity growth and trade balance.

the Solow model is used to estimate factor productivity (labor, capital), and the Goldstein-khan model is used to estimate the most important factors affecting the Egyptian trade balance during the period.

the study examined the factors affecting the trade balance according to theoretical and applied studies.

non-significant factors were excluded according to the estimation model used.

it concluded that the most important factors affecting the Egyptian trade balance during the study period are: effective real exchange rate, index of export unit value / index of import unit value and the productivity of labor.

the effect of the effective real exchange rate was twice the total factor productivity during the period.