الآثار الاقتصادية لفقد وإهدار الموارد الأرضية الزراعية على الميزان التجاري الزراعي والغذائي المصري

Abstract EN

The economic supply for Egyptian agricultural land resources faces loss of either quantitative or qualitative, which results in a decrease in the efficiency of that supply in facing the challenges of population increase and providing food crops in adequate quantities and thus increasing the efforts and investments necessary for the development of the agricultural sector and improving the standard of living for farmers in particular, increasing the rate of self -sufficiency and achieving security food at the state level in general, and the research aims to measure the economic impact to waste agricultural land resources so that the necessary frameworks can be developed to meet this by identifying the features and indicators of loss in agricultural land resources from their various sources, and studying the economic impact of loss in the cultivated ground patch and the crops agricultural production, and the impact of this on the deficit in the Egyptian agricultural and food balance for the most important food security crops, and the research has reached a number of results, the most important of which are: 1- the quantum loss in the agricultural lands below in 2019 reached about 1506 acres, representing about 2% of the total quantitative loss during the study period, and its maximum in 2012 was about 15.6 thousand acres, representing about 18% of the total quantitative loss during the study period, and with an average of reaching about 9.6 thousand acres during the study period, as it was found that it decreases at an annual rate of about 16%, due to the legislation of laws that limit and criminalize the infringement of agricultural lands and address the infringement operations through the authorities assigned to that.

2- the cumulative effect and cumulative losses resulting from the digital loss in agricultural lands from 2011 until the end of the study period, which is estimated at about 795 thousand acres that were lost over 12 years, which is the study period from 2011-2022.

3- by studying the cumulative effects and losses in the crop area resulting from the patchwork loss during the study period 2011-2022, where the crop intensification coefficient was used as an average for the study period, which amounted to about 1.72, and the cumulative losses were estimated at the equivalent of about 1.37 million feddans of different crop production.

4- and by studying the economic effects of loss in agricultural land resources on the Egyptian agricultural trade balance through a number of alternatives, it was found that the amount and value of imports of the most important crops and goods associated with food security as an average of 2020,2021, where the total amount of imports for each of wheat and the Levantine corn reached about 11, 9 million tons, 9.1 million tons, respectively, and through the first alternative, it was possible to reduce the amount of wheat imports by 1.74 million tons, representing about 14.6% of its total imports, as well as reducing imports from the Levantine corn by 2 million tons it represents about 21.9% of his total imports, as well as through the second alternative, imports of soybeans could be reduced by 775 thousand tons, representing about 16.7% of the total oil seeds imports, as well 436 thousand tons represented about 58% of the total legumes imports as an average of 2020, 2021.