النمذجة القياسية للعلاقة السببية بين نمو السكان والنمو الاقتصادي في السودان خلال الفترة (1980-2021م)‎ باستخدام نموذج شعاع الانحدار الذاتي (VAR)‎

Abstract EN

Abstract the study aimed to measuring the impact of population growth on economic growth in Sudan within the period (1980-2021), to achieve this goal a standard model for the relationship between the variables of the study was formulated and constructed, the study problem lies in the main question: how is increasing of population growth negatively impacted on economic growth in Sudan? descriptive analytical method was used in theoretical side of the study and tools of econometrics in analysis was used in practical side (vector auto regressive model).

the study's data for that period was collected from the central bureau of statistics.

the study assumed some hypotheses, the most important one is that there is inverse relationship having a negative impact statistically between population growth and economic growth in Sudan.

the study has concluded to the existence of a negative relationship between population growth and economic growth, also study concluded to negative impact of population growth on economic growth by rate of 72%.

the study has recommended to necessity of legally controlling population growth to tread that defect generated by increasing population.