كثافة التجارة و تزامن الدورات الاقتصادية بين مصر و أهم شركائها التجاريين

Abstract EN

The Purpose of this paper is to investigate the impact of bilateral trade intensity on the business cycles synchronization between Egypt and its most important trade partners during the period (1970-2008).

The Econometric Model consisted of Multi-regression Equation(pooled data), which was estimated by two methods, The Generalized Least Squares and Instrumental Variables by using Two-Stages Least Squares.

The results Show that there is a negative and less significance relationship between Bilateral Trade Intensity and Business Cycles Synchronization.