مصادر تقلبات سعر الصرف الاسمي في تركيا للمدة (1980-2002)‎

Abstract EN

This research discusses important subject (Sources of nominal fluctuations of exchange rate in turkey) by the beginning of the eighties of the last century, the research aimed to study and analysis these sources in Turkey for the period (1980-2002), and explain the causes of this fluctuations in exchange rate and appointing its nature by depending on theoretical analysis and the empirical analysis.

The research depended on hypothesis which was : the money shock (the growth of high money supply) and the external shock which carry the money style (increasing in capital flows),were the main responsible about the wide- fluctuations in the exchange rate of Turkish Lira.

The two stage least square method (2SLS) had used for estimating the model which had used in this research, and the research arrived to some results, the most important result was : the money shock and the external shock (which carry money style) were the main sources of the fluctuations in Turkish Lira exchange rate, and confirmed the hypothesis of research.