مآلات : تخفيض سعر الجنيه على ميزان المدفوعات في السودان للفترة من "1990-2011 م"

Abstract EN

The problem of the study comes a by knowing the effect of reducing the Sudanese pound exchange rate on the balance of payments and what the impact of these various policies adopted by the central bank and the government towards exchange rates , which have been applied in the mid - nineties to reduce the deficit in the balance of payments.

The study aims mainly to investigate the exchange rate policies in Sudan and their impact on the movement of the balance of payments.

This study used the descriptive analytical method for the used variables, and then followed the standard statistical approach, using simple linear regression model through the method of least squares “OLS“ time series for the study variables in the period from 1990 till 2011.

And concluded that the dependent variable balance of payments “B " is relevant and statistically significant to the independent variable exchange rate "EX".

One of the most important findings of the study that there is an inverse relationship between the equilibrium in the balance of payments "B" and the exchange rate "EX" which is identical to the economic theory, despite the lack of statistical significance for the balance of payments .

With respect to the explanatory power of the model, the results showed that the independent variable included in the model explain the variabilities that occur on the dependent variable by (51 %).

From the above results we conclude that we must search for policies that focus on the stability of the exchange rate and lead to the balancing in the balance of payments in the Sudan.

One of the most important recommendations of the study is to follow the free exchange rate system because of its impact on the economic recovery.

Cease, reducing exchange rate policy because it leads to imbalance in the balance of payments.

The entry of new revenues on the movement of the balance of payments such as oil revenues and other sectors must be used in development projects and infrastructures like roads , electricity , bridges and others.

We must moreover pay attention to scientific research.